Value bet: Arnett Gardens to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMontego Bay United to win ✗45% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 16 April the Premier League brings Arnett Gardens against Montego Bay United at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Arnett Gardens are 6th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Montego Bay United are 4th (among the top four) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arnett Gardens, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Waterhouse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Montego Bay United, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cavalier, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arnett Gardens 1.3 xG, Montego Bay United 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arnett Gardens 31%, draw 24%, Montego Bay United 45%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Arnett Gardens to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arnett Gardens 1–1 Montego Bay United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arnett Gardens31%fair 3.18 · @3.45
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.45
Montego Bay United45%fair 2.23 · @1.91
2.72Expected goals
1.34Arnett Gardens xG
1.38Montego Bay United xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arnett Gardens 1.3 – 1.4 Montego Bay United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montego Bay United to win✗
45%
2.23
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Montego Bay United (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Arnett Gardens +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Montego Bay United to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montego Bay United / FT Montego Bay United✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Arnett Gardens – last 6
DDLWWD
6 Apr
@ Waterhouse
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Mount Pleasant Academy
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Harbour View
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Tivoli Gardens
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Racing United
4–0
W
9 Mar
vs Molynes United
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Montego Bay United – last 6
WDWWLD
29 Mar
vs Cavalier
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Molynes United
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Dunbeholden
4–3
W
16 Mar
@ Waterhouse
4–0
W
10 Mar
@ Waterhouse
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Harbour View
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arnett Gardens and Montego Bay United.
What is the prediction for Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
On our numbers Arnett Gardens have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montego Bay United 45%.
How many goals will there be in Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
Our predicted score is Arnett Gardens 1–1 Montego Bay United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Harbour View1