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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waterhouse v Tivoli Gardens: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Jamaica · Waterhouse Mini Stadium
1–0
FT
Waterhouse 63%Draw 23%Tivoli Gardens 14% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.73
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultWaterhouse to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Waterhouse welcome Tivoli Gardens to Waterhouse Mini Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 16 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Waterhouse are 2nd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Tivoli Gardens are 7th (upper half) with 12.

Current form

Waterhouse, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arnett Gardens, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Tivoli Gardens, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Harbour View, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Waterhouse, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tivoli Gardens.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Waterhouse 1–1 Tivoli Gardens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterhouse 1.9 xG, Tivoli Gardens 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterhouse 63%, draw 23%, Tivoli Gardens 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterhouse63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Tivoli Gardens14%fair 7.27 · @5.00
2.61Expected goals
1.88Waterhouse xG
0.73Tivoli Gardens xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Waterhouse 1.9 – 0.7 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaterhouse to win ✓63%1.591.62
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.85
Draw no betWaterhouse (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapWaterhouse -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreWaterhouse to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultWaterhouse ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waterhouse / FT Waterhouse ✓41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Waterhouse – last 6

DWLWWL
6 Aprvs Arnett Gardens1–1D
31 Marvs Spanish Town Police5–1W
26 Mar@ Portmore United1–2L
23 Marvs Cavalier2–1W
18 Mar@ Molynes United4–0W
16 Marvs Montego Bay United0–4L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tivoli Gardens – last 5

WLLDD
29 Marvs Harbour View3–2W
25 Marvs Chapelton0–1L
19 Marvs Arnett Gardens0–2L
4 Marvs Mount Pleasant Academy1–1D
16 Feb@ Waterhouse1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Waterhouse v Tivoli Gardens1–1
Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

On our numbers Waterhouse have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tivoli Gardens 14%.

How many goals will there be in Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our predicted score is Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.