Volga Ulyanovsk 39%Draw 29%Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%Expected goals 1.12 – 1.04
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✗39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.30
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Volga Ulyanovsk v Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League, played at Trud Stadium. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 4: DDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Kostroma, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Volga Ulyanovsk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.1 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 39%, draw 29%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk39%fair 2.60 · @2.28
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.04
Shinnik Yaroslavl33%fair 3.04 · @3.22
2.16Expected goals
1.12Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.04Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.1 – 1.0 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Volga Ulyanovsk
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack vs First League average
-10%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.05
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✗
39%
2.60
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.01
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.30
–
Recent results
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
DWDWDW
5 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 4
DDWL
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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