Pobeda vs Rostov II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 July the Second League Group 1 brings Pobeda against Rostov II at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Pobeda are 5th, upper half, on 33 points after 20 matches; Rostov II are 3rd (among the top four) with 46. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pobeda, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lugansk, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Rostov II, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Astrakhan, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Rostov II, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Pobeda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pobeda 1.4 xG, Rostov II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pobeda 36%, draw 24%, Rostov II 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.64.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pobeda 1–1 Rostov II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pobeda36%fair 2.79 · @2.36
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.38
Rostov II40%fair 2.47 · @2.54
3.00Expected goals
1.38Pobeda xG
1.62Rostov II xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Pobeda 1.4 – 1.6 Rostov II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rostov II to win✗
40%
2.47
2.54
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.64
Draw no bet
Rostov II (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Pobeda +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Rostov II to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rostov II / FT Rostov II✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Pobeda – last 6
WLLWWL
27 Jun
@ Lugansk
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Sevastopol
1–2
L
30 May
@ Shahter Taganrog
1–3
L
23 May
vs Izberbash
7–0
W
8 May
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Spartak Nalchik
1–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rostov II – last 6
WWDWWW
27 Jun
vs Astrakhan
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Angust Nazran
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Spartak Nalchik
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Izberbash
3–1
W
30 May
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
3–1
W
23 May
vs FK Chayka 2
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pobeda and Rostov II.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Pobeda vs Rostov II?
On our numbers Pobeda have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rostov II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda vs Rostov II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda vs Rostov II?
Our predicted score is Pobeda 1–1 Rostov II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pobeda vs Rostov II?
Pobeda vs Rostov II (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
