Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sevastopol travel to face Spartak Nalchik on Saturday 4 July in the Second League Group 1 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Nalchik are 8th, upper half, on 28 points after 20 matches; Sevastopol are 1st (leading the league) with 50. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Nalchik, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lugansk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Sevastopol, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Angust Nazran, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Spartak Nalchik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Nalchik 1.0 xG, Sevastopol 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Nalchik 23%, draw 23%, Sevastopol 54%.
Lower-risk option: Sevastopol or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sevastopol or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Nalchik 0–1 Sevastopol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Nalchik23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
Sevastopol54%fair 1.85 · @1.82
2.69Expected goals
1.00Spartak Nalchik xG
1.69Sevastopol xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Nalchik 1.0 – 1.7 Sevastopol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✗
54%
1.85
1.82
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Draw no bet
Sevastopol (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Nalchik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.39
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Sevastopol to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Spartak Nalchik – last 6
WDLDLW
20 Jun
vs Lugansk
3–0
W
13 Jun
@ Rostov II
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Kyzyltash
0–1
L
30 May
@ Rubin Yalta
1–1
D
23 May
@ Nart Cherkessk
0–1
L
8 May
vs Druzhba
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sevastopol – last 6
WWWWDW
27 Jun
vs Angust Nazran
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Astrakhan
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Pobeda
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Nart Cherkessk
1–0
W
30 May
vs Druzhba
0–0
D
23 May
@ Kyzyltash
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Nalchik and Sevastopol.
What is the prediction for Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol?
Our pick is Sevastopol or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol?
On our numbers Spartak Nalchik have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sevastopol 54%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol?
Our predicted score is Spartak Nalchik 0–1 Sevastopol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol?
Spartak Nalchik vs Sevastopol (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
