Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Pobeda to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKyzyltash to win ✓40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Kyzyltash vs Pobeda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Second League Group 1 brings Kyzyltash against Pobeda. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Kyzyltash are 6th, upper half, on 31 points after 21 matches; Pobeda are 5th (upper half) with 33. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kyzyltash, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Astrakhan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Pobeda, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rubin Yalta, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Pobeda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Kyzyltash.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kyzyltash 1.5 xG, Pobeda 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kyzyltash 40%, draw 23%, Pobeda 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.56.
Price worth noting: Pobeda to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyzyltash 1–1 Pobeda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kyzyltash40%fair 2.52 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Pobeda37%fair 2.70 · @2.95
3.03Expected goals
1.55Kyzyltash xG
1.49Pobeda xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kyzyltash 1.5 – 1.5 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyzyltash to win✓
40%
2.52
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.56
Draw no bet
Kyzyltash (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Pobeda +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.16
First team to score
Kyzyltash to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyzyltash / FT Kyzyltash✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Kyzyltash – last 6
DWLWLW
10 Oct
@ Astrakhan
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shahter Taganrog
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ FK Chayka 2
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Rubin Yalta
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sevastopol
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Nart Cherkessk
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pobeda – last 6
WLWWWW
10 Oct
vs Rubin Yalta
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Angust Nazran
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Spartak Nalchik
4–3
W
20 Sep
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Astrakhan
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Izberbash
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyzyltash and Pobeda.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Kyzyltash have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pobeda 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Kyzyltash 1–1 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
Kyzyltash vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
