Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSevastopol to win ✗71% · @1.28
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Sevastopol vs Izberbash: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Second League Group 1 brings Sevastopol against Izberbash at Sportyvnyj Kompleks. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sevastopol are 1st, leading the league, on 50 points after 21 matches; Izberbash are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sevastopol, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Dynamo Makhachkala II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Izberbash, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Druzhba, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Izberbash.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevastopol 2.3 xG, Izberbash 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevastopol 71%, draw 18%, Izberbash 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sevastopol to win (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevastopol 2–0 Izberbash. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevastopol71%fair 1.41 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.50
Izberbash11%fair 8.81 · @11.30
3.07Expected goals
2.27Sevastopol xG
0.79Izberbash xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sevastopol 2.3 – 0.8 Izberbash expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
Sevastopol (draw no bet)
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Sevastopol -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.54
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.21
First team to score
Sevastopol to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Sevastopol ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Sevastopol – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Oct
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
6–0
W
3 Oct
vs Lugansk
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Rostov II
1–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rubin Yalta
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Kyzyltash
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Spartak Nalchik
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Izberbash – last 6
LDDWLL
3 Oct
@ Druzhba
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Nart Cherkessk
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Astrakhan
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Pobeda
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ FK Chayka 2
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevastopol and Izberbash.
What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Our pick is Sevastopol to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
On our numbers Sevastopol have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Izberbash 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Izberbash, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Sevastopol vs Izberbash (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
