Cherepovets 54%Draw 23%Zvezda St. Petersburg 22%Expected goals 1.81 – 1.20
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCherepovets to win ✗54% · @1.65
Double chanceCherepovets or draw ✗78% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Cherepovets v Zvezda St. Petersburg in the Second League Group 2. In the table, Cherepovets are 9th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th (lower half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cherepovets, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Torpedo Vladimir, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Spartak Moscow 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherepovets 1.8 xG, Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherepovets 54%, draw 23%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 22%.
Lower-risk option: Cherepovets or draw (78%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.47.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherepovets 1–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherepovets54%fair 1.84 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.96
Zvezda St. Petersburg22%fair 4.47 · @3.96
3.01Expected goals
1.81Cherepovets xG
1.20Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cherepovets 1.8 – 1.2 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherepovets to win✗
54%
1.84
1.65
Double chance
Cherepovets or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.47
Draw no bet
Cherepovets (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Zvezda St. Petersburg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.21
First team to score
Cherepovets to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherepovets / FT Cherepovets✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Cherepovets – last 6
LLDWLW
21 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Dinamo Vologda
2–2
D
31 May
vs Baltika II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Yenisey II
2–4
L
11 May
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
LWDDLL
23 Jun
vs Spartak Moscow 2
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Tver
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
3 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–1
D
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherepovets and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Cherepovets have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Cherepovets 1–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
