Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.41Odds
Picks by market
ResultMurom to win ✗57% · @1.48
Double chanceMurom or draw ✗80% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Tver vs Murom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Murom travel to face Tver on Sunday 28 June in the Second League Group 2 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Tver are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 21 matches; Murom are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tver, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luki-Energiya, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Murom, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Iskra Smolensk, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Murom, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Tver.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tver 1.0 xG, Murom 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tver 20%, draw 23%, Murom 57%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.69.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tver 1–1 Murom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tver20%fair 4.92 · @5.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.10
Murom57%fair 1.76 · @1.48
2.71Expected goals
1.03Tver xG
1.68Murom xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tver 1.0 – 1.7 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win✗
57%
1.76
1.48
Double chance
Murom or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.69
Draw no bet
Murom (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Tver +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Murom to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Tver – last 6
LLLWLL
21 Jun
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–2
L
31 May
vs Irkutsk
3–2
W
24 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–2
L
21 May
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Murom – last 6
WLWLWW
21 Jun
vs Iskra Smolensk
6–0
W
7 Jun
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
31 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
23 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tver and Murom.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Tver vs Murom?
On our numbers Tver have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Murom 57%.
How many goals will there be in Tver vs Murom?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tver vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Tver 1–1 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tver vs Murom?
Tver vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
