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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Irkutsk v Chertanovo Moscow: numbers & prediction

Irkutsk

LLWDL
1–1
FT
Irkutsk 18%Draw 23%Chertanovo Moscow 59% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.77
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultChertanovo Moscow to win ✗59% · @1.52
Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chertanovo Moscow travel to face Irkutsk on Sunday 5 July in the Second League Group 2 – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Irkutsk are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 21 matches; Chertanovo Moscow are 5th (upper half) with 39. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Irkutsk, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kosmos Dolgoprudny, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Vologda, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Chertanovo Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Irkutsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Irkutsk 0.9 xG, Chertanovo Moscow 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Irkutsk 18%, draw 23%, Chertanovo Moscow 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irkutsk 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Irkutsk18%fair 5.66 · @4.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
Chertanovo Moscow59%fair 1.69 · @1.52
2.71Expected goals
0.94Irkutsk xG
1.77Chertanovo Moscow xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Irkutsk 0.9 – 1.8 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChertanovo Moscow to win ✗59%1.691.52
Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓82%1.211.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.82
Draw no betChertanovo Moscow (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapIrkutsk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreChertanovo Moscow to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultChertanovo Moscow ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chertanovo Moscow / FT Chertanovo Moscow ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Irkutsk – last 6

LLWDLW
28 Jun@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny0–2L
21 Junvs Dinamo St. Petersburg0–4L
14 Jun@ Cherepovets2–1W
3 Jun@ Zvezda St. Petersburg1–1D
31 May@ Tver2–3L
24 Mayvs Iskra Smolensk2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chertanovo Moscow – last 6

DWWWLW
28 Junvs Dinamo Vologda1–1D
21 Jun@ Baltika II3–1W
14 Junvs Yenisey II3–1W
31 May@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny3–0W
24 Mayvs Dinamo St. Petersburg0–1L
3 May@ Tver2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Irkutsk and Chertanovo Moscow.

Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow head-to-head page →

Second League Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Murom211425+1844
2Dinamo St. Petersburg201262+2242
3Luki-Energiya211263+1842
4Baltika II211245+1940
5Chertanovo Moscow211164+2139
6Torpedo Vladimir20956+532
7Kosmos Dolgoprudny21849-628
8Tver217311-624
9Cherepovets207310-1124
10Zvezda St. Petersburg20596024
11Dinamo Vologda20659+323
12Spartak Moscow 2216510-623
13Yenisey II215412-1719
14Iskra Smolensk213612-2515
15Irkutsk213216-3511

More Second League Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?

On our numbers Irkutsk have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chertanovo Moscow 59%.

How many goals will there be in Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?

Our predicted score is Irkutsk 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?

Irkutsk vs Chertanovo Moscow (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.