Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Luki-Energiya v Cherepovets in the Second League Group 2, played at Stadion Ekspress. In the table, Luki-Energiya are 3rd, among the top four, on 42 points after 21 matches; Cherepovets are 9th (lower half) with 24. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Luki-Energiya, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Spartak Moscow 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Cherepovets, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zvezda St. Petersburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Luki-Energiya, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Cherepovets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luki-Energiya 1.7 xG, Cherepovets 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luki-Energiya 57%, draw 23%, Cherepovets 20%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luki-Energiya 1–0 Cherepovets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luki-Energiya57%fair 1.75 · @1.54
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.92
Cherepovets20%fair 5.11 · @4.80
2.58Expected goals
1.69Luki-Energiya xG
0.90Cherepovets xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.7 – 0.9 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luki-Energiya to win✓
57%
1.75
1.54
Double chance
Luki-Energiya or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.77
Draw no bet
Luki-Energiya (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Cherepovets +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Luki-Energiya to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya✓
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Luki-Energiya – last 6
WWDWWD
28 Jun
@ Spartak Moscow 2
2–0
W
21 Jun
vs Tver
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Murom
2–1
W
24 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cherepovets – last 6
LLLDWL
28 Jun
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Dinamo Vologda
2–2
D
31 May
vs Baltika II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Yenisey II
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luki-Energiya and Cherepovets.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cherepovets 20%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ekspress.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
