Value bet: Dinamo Vologda to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Vologda to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Second League Group 2 brings Zvezda St. Petersburg against Dinamo Vologda at Stadion Nova Arena. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Dinamo Vologda are 11th (lower half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luki-Energiya, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Dinamo Vologda, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tver, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.2 xG, Dinamo Vologda 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zvezda St. Petersburg 35%, draw 25%, Dinamo Vologda 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Dinamo Vologda to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Dinamo Vologda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.85
Dinamo Vologda40%fair 2.49 · @2.75
2.52Expected goals
1.20Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.31Dinamo Vologda xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.2 – 1.3 Dinamo Vologda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Vologda to win✗
40%
2.49
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.37
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Dinamo Vologda (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Zvezda St. Petersburg +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Dinamo Vologda to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Vologda / FT Dinamo Vologda✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
LLWDDW
12 Aug
vs Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Baltika II
3–4
L
2 Aug
vs Yenisey II
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Cherepovets
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dinamo Vologda – last 6
WLWDLL
13 Aug
vs Tver
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Yenisey II
4–0
W
28 Jun
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–4
L
13 Jun
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zvezda St. Petersburg and Dinamo Vologda.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Vologda 40%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Dinamo Vologda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
