Value bet: Luki-Energiya to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceLuki-Energiya or draw ✗85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Luki-Energiya v Baltika II in the Second League Group 2, played at Stadion Ekspress. In the table, Luki-Energiya are 3rd, among the top four, on 42 points after 21 matches; Baltika II are 4th (among the top four) with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Luki-Energiya, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zvezda St. Petersburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Baltika II, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Zvezda St. Petersburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Baltika II 1–1 Luki-Energiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luki-Energiya 1.9 xG, Baltika II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luki-Energiya 64%, draw 22%, Baltika II 15%.
Lower-risk option: Luki-Energiya or draw (85%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.89.
Price worth noting: Luki-Energiya to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luki-Energiya 2–0 Baltika II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luki-Energiya64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.55
Baltika II15%fair 6.71 · @3.74
2.64Expected goals
1.87Luki-Energiya xG
0.77Baltika II xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.9 – 0.8 Baltika II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baltika II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 2–0 Baltika II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II?
Luki-Energiya vs Baltika II (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ekspress.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
