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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cherepovets v Luki-Energiya: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Cherepovets 36%Draw 23%Luki-Energiya 41% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.42
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✗41% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Cherepovets v Luki-Energiya in the Second League Group 2. In the table, Cherepovets are 9th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Luki-Energiya are 3rd (among the top four) with 42. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cherepovets, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zvezda St. Petersburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Luki-Energiya, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Spartak Moscow 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Aug 2026) it ended Luki-Energiya 4–1 Cherepovets. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cherepovets 0 wins, Luki-Energiya 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cherepovets 1.3 xG, Luki-Energiya 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cherepovets 36%, draw 23%, Luki-Energiya 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.61.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherepovets 1–1 Luki-Energiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cherepovets36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Luki-Energiya41%fair 2.41 · @2.37
2.72Expected goals
1.30Cherepovets xG
1.42Luki-Energiya xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Cherepovets 1.3 – 1.4 Luki-Energiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuki-Energiya to win ✗41%2.412.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.61
Draw no betLuki-Energiya (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapCherepovets +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.13
First team to scoreLuki-Energiya to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

Cherepovets – last 6

LLLWWL
16 Oct@ Zvezda St. Petersburg0–2L
11 Octvs Torpedo Vladimir0–1L
27 Sepvs Dinamo Vologda1–2L
20 Sep@ Baltika II4–1W
13 Sepvs Yenisey II3–2W
6 Sep@ Chertanovo Moscow0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Luki-Energiya – last 6

DLLWLW
18 Octvs Spartak Moscow 22–2D
14 Oct@ Leningradets0–2L
11 Oct@ Tver1–2L
4 Octvs Iskra Smolensk2–1W
27 Sep@ Murom0–2L
14 Sep@ Zvezda St. Petersburg1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Aug 2026Luki-Energiya v Cherepovets4–1
5 Jul 2026Luki-Energiya v Cherepovets3–0
Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya head-to-head page →

Second League Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Murom211425+1844
2Dinamo St. Petersburg201262+2242
3Luki-Energiya211263+1842
4Baltika II211245+1940
5Chertanovo Moscow211164+2139
6Torpedo Vladimir20956+532
7Kosmos Dolgoprudny21849-628
8Tver217311-624
9Cherepovets207310-1124
10Zvezda St. Petersburg20596024
11Dinamo Vologda20659+323
12Spartak Moscow 2216510-623
13Yenisey II215412-1719
14Iskra Smolensk213612-2515
15Irkutsk213216-3511

More Second League Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?

On our numbers Cherepovets have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Luki-Energiya 41%.

How many goals will there be in Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?

Our predicted score is Cherepovets 1–1 Luki-Energiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya?

Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.