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Tver v Iskra Smolensk: numbers & prediction

Tver

DWWWW
1–1
FT
Tver 73%Draw 18%Iskra Smolensk 9% Expected goals 2.34 – 0.73
73%
Betarazi pick

Tver to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultTver to win ✗73% · @1.29
Double chanceTver or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Tver vs Iskra Smolensk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Tver v Iskra Smolensk in the Second League Group 2. In the table, Tver are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 21 matches; Iskra Smolensk are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.

Current form

Tver, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Murom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Iskra Smolensk, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Murom, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tver, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Iskra Smolensk.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Iskra Smolensk 2–4 Tver.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tver 2.3 xG, Iskra Smolensk 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tver 73%, draw 18%, Iskra Smolensk 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.81.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tver to win (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tver 2–0 Iskra Smolensk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tver73%fair 1.38 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @5.70
Iskra Smolensk9%fair 11.02 · @7.14
3.07Expected goals
2.34Tver xG
0.73Iskra Smolensk xG
49%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Tver 2.3 – 0.7 Iskra Smolensk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTver to win ✗73%1.381.29
Double chanceTver or draw ✓91%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.81
Draw no betTver (draw no bet)89%1.12–
Asian handicapTver -1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.49
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.19
First team to scoreTver to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultTver ahead at half-time ✓53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tver / FT Tver ✗49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Tver – last 6

DWWWWD
18 Oct@ Murom0–0D
11 Octvs Luki-Energiya2–1W
2 Oct@ Zvezda St. Petersburg8–1W
27 Sepvs Torpedo Vladimir2–0W
13 Sepvs Dinamo Vologda2–0W
5 Sep@ Baltika II1–1D
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Iskra Smolensk – last 6

LLWWWD
10 Octvs Murom1–4L
4 Oct@ Luki-Energiya1–2L
26 Sepvs Zvezda St. Petersburg3–1W
20 Sep@ Torpedo Vladimir1–0W
6 Sep@ Dinamo Vologda3–2W
29 Augvs Baltika II1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Iskra Smolensk v Tver2–4
Tver vs Iskra Smolensk head-to-head page →

Second League Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Murom211425+1844
2Dinamo St. Petersburg201262+2242
3Luki-Energiya211263+1842
4Baltika II211245+1940
5Chertanovo Moscow211164+2139
6Torpedo Vladimir20956+532
7Kosmos Dolgoprudny21849-628
8Tver217311-624
9Cherepovets207310-1124
10Zvezda St. Petersburg20596024
11Dinamo Vologda20659+323
12Spartak Moscow 2216510-623
13Yenisey II215412-1719
14Iskra Smolensk213612-2515
15Irkutsk213216-3511

More Second League Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?

Our pick is Tver to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?

On our numbers Tver have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Iskra Smolensk 9%.

How many goals will there be in Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?

Our predicted score is Tver 2–0 Iskra Smolensk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Tver vs Iskra Smolensk?

Tver vs Iskra Smolensk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.