Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Picks by market
ResultAvangard Kursk to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avangard Kursk welcome Zenit Penza to Trudovye Rezervy Stadium for a Second League Group 3 fixture on Saturday 15 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Avangard Kursk are 8th, upper half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Zenit Penza are 12th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Avangard Kursk, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kristall MEZ, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Zenit Penza, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Volna Nizhegorodskaya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avangard Kursk 1.9 xG, Zenit Penza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avangard Kursk 59%, draw 19%, Zenit Penza 22%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avangard Kursk 1–1 Zenit Penza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avangard Kursk59%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.50
Zenit Penza22%fair 4.52 · @3.72
2.91Expected goals
1.88Avangard Kursk xG
1.02Zenit Penza xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Avangard Kursk 1.9 – 1.0 Zenit Penza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avangard Kursk to win✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Avangard Kursk (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Zenit Penza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
First team to score
Avangard Kursk to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Avangard Kursk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avangard Kursk / FT Avangard Kursk✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Avangard Kursk – last 6
DDLLLW
12 Aug
vs Kristall MEZ
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Strogino
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
6–3
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zenit Penza – last 6
LDWLWL
8 Aug
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ SKA Rostov
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Rotor-2
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Salyut-Belgorod
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Orel
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ Rodina Moskva III
1–9
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avangard Kursk and Zenit Penza.
What is the prediction for Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
On our numbers Avangard Kursk have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zenit Penza 22%.
How many goals will there be in Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
Our predicted score is Avangard Kursk 1–1 Zenit Penza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Trudovye Rezervy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
