Volna Nizhegorodskaya 63%Draw 20%Metallurg Lipetsk 17%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.81
83%
Betarazi pick
Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win @ 1.87 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVolna Nizhegorodskaya to win ✓63% · @1.87
Double chanceVolna Nizhegorodskaya or draw ✓83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metallurg Lipetsk travel to face Volna Nizhegorodskaya on Saturday 15 August in the Second League Group 3 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Volna Nizhegorodskaya are 1st, leading the league, on 56 points after 22 matches; Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th (upper half) with 38. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Volna Nizhegorodskaya, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tyumen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Metallurg Lipetsk, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Murom, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1.9 xG, Metallurg Lipetsk 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volna Nizhegorodskaya 63%, draw 20%, Metallurg Lipetsk 17%.
Lower-risk option: Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw (83%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw (83%, odds 1.24 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–0 Metallurg Lipetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volna Nizhegorodskaya63%fair 1.58 · @1.87
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
Metallurg Lipetsk17%fair 5.93 · @3.64
2.68Expected goals
1.87Volna Nizhegorodskaya xG
0.81Metallurg Lipetsk xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1.9 – 0.8 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win✓
63%
1.58
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Volna Nizhegorodskaya (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
Volna Nizhegorodskaya to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Volna Nizhegorodskaya ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volna Nizhegorodskaya / FT Volna Nizhegorodskaya✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Volna Nizhegorodskaya – last 6
WWWLDW
12 Aug
vs Tyumen
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Zenit Penza
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula II
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Strogino
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Shumbrat
3–3
D
27 Jun
@ FK Spartak Tambov
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 6
DDWDWW
12 Aug
@ Murom
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Ryazan
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Rotor-2
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Kvant
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Orel
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Rodina Moskva III
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volna Nizhegorodskaya and Metallurg Lipetsk.
What is the prediction for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers Volna Nizhegorodskaya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Metallurg Lipetsk 17%.
How many goals will there be in Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–0 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
