Metallurg Lipetsk v Avangard Kursk Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMetallurg Lipetsk to win ✓59% · @1.70

Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓80% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16

Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Metallurg Lipetsk v Avangard Kursk in the Second League Group 3, played at Stadion Metallurg. In the table, Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th, upper half, on 38 points after 22 matches; Avangard Kursk are 8th (upper half) with 30.

Current form

Metallurg Lipetsk, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Volna Nizhegorodskaya, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Avangard Kursk, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zenit Penza, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Metallurg Lipetsk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Avangard Kursk.

Head to head

When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Avangard Kursk 1–1 Metallurg Lipetsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Metallurg Lipetsk 1.8 xG, Avangard Kursk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Metallurg Lipetsk 59%, draw 21%, Avangard Kursk 20%.
Lower-risk option: Metallurg Lipetsk or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metallurg Lipetsk 1–1 Avangard Kursk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Metallurg Lipetsk59%fair 1.68 · @1.70

Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.60

Avangard Kursk20%fair 5.07 · @4.44

2.75Expected goals

1.82Metallurg Lipetsk xG

0.92Avangard Kursk xG

57%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–011%

2–110%

3–06%

0–06%

From our goals model: Metallurg Lipetsk 1.8 – 0.9 Avangard Kursk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Metallurg Lipetsk to win ✓	59%	1.68	1.70
Double chance	Metallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	1.80
Draw no bet	Metallurg Lipetsk (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Avangard Kursk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.11
First team to score	Metallurg Lipetsk to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Metallurg Lipetsk ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Metallurg Lipetsk / FT Metallurg Lipetsk ✓	37%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.16	–

Metallurg Lipetsk – last 6

LDDWDW

15 Aug	@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya	2–3	L
12 Aug	@ Murom	0–0	D
8 Aug	vs Ryazan	0–0	D
1 Aug	@ Rotor-2	3–0	W
25 Jul	@ Kvant	2–2	D
4 Jul	@ Orel	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Avangard Kursk – last 6

WDDLLL

15 Aug	vs Zenit Penza	1–0	W
12 Aug	vs Kristall MEZ	1–1	D
9 Aug	@ Arsenal Tula II	1–1	D
1 Aug	vs Strogino	1–3	L
25 Jul	vs SKA Khabarovsk II	1–2	L
4 Jul	vs FK Spartak Tambov	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	22	18	2	2	+34	56
2	FK Spartak Tambov	22	17	2	3	+25	53
3	Shumbrat	22	12	4	6	+11	40
4	Saturn Ramenskoye	22	12	4	6	+10	40
5	Ryazan	21	11	7	3	+22	40
6	Salyut-Belgorod	22	12	3	7	+16	39
7	Metallurg Lipetsk	22	11	5	6	+14	38
8	Avangard Kursk	22	8	6	8	-1	30
9	Rodina Moskva III	22	8	4	10	+3	28
10	Strogino	22	7	4	11	-10	25
11	SKA Khabarovsk II	22	7	3	12	-8	24
12	Zenit Penza	21	7	2	12	-16	23
13	Orel	22	6	5	11	-13	23
14	Rotor-2	22	4	2	16	-20	14
15	Arsenal Tula II	22	2	8	12	-25	14
16	Kvant	22	1	3	18	-42	6

Team

Pts

Volna Nizhegorodskaya

+34

+25

+11

+10

+22

+16

+14

-1

-10

-8

-16

-13

-20

-25

-42

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?

On our numbers Metallurg Lipetsk have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Avangard Kursk 20%.

How many goals will there be in Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?

Our predicted score is Metallurg Lipetsk 1–1 Avangard Kursk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?

Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Metallurg Lipetsk v Avangard Kursk: numbers & prediction