Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.23 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✗70% · @1.34
Double chanceFK Spartak Tambov or draw ✗91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.23
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Spartak Tambov travel to face Zenit Penza on Saturday 22 August in the Second League Group 3 – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Zenit Penza are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 21 matches; FK Spartak Tambov are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zenit Penza, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Avangard Kursk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FK Spartak Tambov, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arsenal Tula II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Spartak Tambov, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Zenit Penza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zenit Penza 0.6 xG, FK Spartak Tambov 2.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit Penza 9%, draw 21%, FK Spartak Tambov 70%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.23.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.23 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit Penza 0–2 FK Spartak Tambov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zenit Penza9%fair 11.33 · @8.30
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.50
FK Spartak Tambov70%fair 1.42 · @1.34
2.70Expected goals
0.62Zenit Penza xG
2.08FK Spartak Tambov xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–215%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zenit Penza 0.6 – 2.1 FK Spartak Tambov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Spartak Tambov to win✗
70%
1.42
1.34
Double chance
FK Spartak Tambov or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.23 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Spartak Tambov (draw no bet)✗
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
FK Spartak Tambov -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
FK Spartak Tambov to score first✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
FK Spartak Tambov ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Spartak Tambov / FT FK Spartak Tambov✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Zenit Penza – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ SKA Rostov
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Rotor-2
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Salyut-Belgorod
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Orel
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Spartak Tambov – last 6
DDLWWW
15 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs SKA Rostov
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Strogino
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Shumbrat
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Avangard Kursk
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit Penza and FK Spartak Tambov.
What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Spartak Tambov 70%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 0–2 FK Spartak Tambov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.