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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zenit Penza v FK Spartak Tambov: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Zenit Penza 9%Draw 21%FK Spartak Tambov 70% Expected goals 0.62 – 2.08
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.23 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✗70% · @1.34
Double chanceFK Spartak Tambov or draw ✗91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.23
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08

Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Spartak Tambov travel to face Zenit Penza on Saturday 22 August in the Second League Group 3 – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Zenit Penza are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 21 matches; FK Spartak Tambov are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Zenit Penza, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Avangard Kursk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FK Spartak Tambov, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arsenal Tula II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FK Spartak Tambov, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Zenit Penza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zenit Penza 0.6 xG, FK Spartak Tambov 2.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit Penza 9%, draw 21%, FK Spartak Tambov 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.23.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.23 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit Penza 0–2 FK Spartak Tambov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zenit Penza9%fair 11.33 · @8.30
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.50
FK Spartak Tambov70%fair 1.42 · @1.34
2.70Expected goals
0.62Zenit Penza xG
2.08FK Spartak Tambov xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–215%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Zenit Penza 0.6 – 2.1 FK Spartak Tambov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✗70%1.421.34
Double chanceFK Spartak Tambov or draw ✗91%1.101.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.23 ▲
Draw no betFK Spartak Tambov (draw no bet) ✗89%1.13–
Asian handicapFK Spartak Tambov -1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreFK Spartak Tambov to score first ✗72%1.39–
Half-time resultFK Spartak Tambov ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Spartak Tambov / FT FK Spartak Tambov ✗47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

Zenit Penza – last 6

LLDWLW
15 Aug@ Avangard Kursk0–1L
8 Augvs Volna Nizhegorodskaya0–2L
29 Jul@ SKA Rostov2–2D
25 Jul@ Rotor-21–0W
1 Julvs Salyut-Belgorod1–2L
27 Junvs Orel3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Spartak Tambov – last 6

DDLWWW
15 Augvs Arsenal Tula II1–1D
12 Augvs SKA Rostov1–1D
8 Augvs Strogino0–1L
1 Augvs SKA Khabarovsk II2–0W
25 Jul@ Shumbrat2–1W
4 Jul@ Avangard Kursk2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zenit Penza and FK Spartak Tambov.

Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov head-to-head page →

Second League Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Volna Nizhegorodskaya221822+3456
2FK Spartak Tambov221723+2553
3Shumbrat221246+1140
4Saturn Ramenskoye221246+1040
5Ryazan211173+2240
6Salyut-Belgorod221237+1639
7Metallurg Lipetsk221156+1438
8Avangard Kursk22868-130
9Rodina Moskva III228410+328
10Strogino227411-1025
11SKA Khabarovsk II227312-824
12Zenit Penza217212-1623
13Orel226511-1323
14Rotor-2224216-2014
15Arsenal Tula II222812-2514
16Kvant221318-426

More Second League Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?

On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Spartak Tambov 70%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?

Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 0–2 FK Spartak Tambov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?

Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.