Value bet: Nosta to win @ 3.06 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUral II to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Nosta vs Ural II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ural II travel to face Nosta on Sunday 7 June in the Second League Group 4, with Stadium Metallurg the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Nosta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 22 matches; Ural II are 9th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
Nosta, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelyabinsk II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ural II, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 6–3 win over Dinamo Barnaul, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ural II, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Nosta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nosta 1.6 xG, Ural II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nosta 36%, draw 25%, Ural II 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Nosta to win @3.06 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nosta 1–1 Ural II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nosta36%fair 2.78 · @3.06
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.22
Ural II39%fair 2.55 · @2.10
3.05Expected goals
1.59Nosta xG
1.45Ural II xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nosta 1.6 – 1.5 Ural II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural II to win✓
39%
2.55
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Ural II (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Ural II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Nosta to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nosta / FT Nosta✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Recent results
Nosta – last 6
DLLLLD
31 May
@ Chelyabinsk II
1–1
D
24 May
vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0–1
L
17 May
@ Izhevsk
0–2
L
10 May
vs KDV
0–2
L
3 May
@ Orenburg II
0–3
L
29 Apr
vs Rubin Kazan 2
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ural II – last 6
WLLDDL
30 May
vs Dinamo Barnaul
6–3
W
24 May
@ Akron II
1–3
L
17 May
vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0–3
L
10 May
vs Krylya Sovetov II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Chelyabinsk II
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nosta and Ural II.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Nosta vs Ural II?
On our numbers Nosta have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ural II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nosta vs Ural II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosta vs Ural II?
Our predicted score is Nosta 1–1 Ural II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nosta vs Ural II?
Nosta vs Ural II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Metallurg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
