Value bet: Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win @ 2.24 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓49% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.59
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.29
Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orenburg II welcome Khimik Dzerzhinsk for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Sunday 7 June (16:00 WAT). In the table, Orenburg II are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 22 matches; Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st (leading the league) with 56. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orenburg II, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Izhevsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rubin Kazan 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Orenburg II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orenburg II 1.2 xG, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orenburg II 27%, draw 24%, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 49%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.59.
Price worth noting: Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win @2.24 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orenburg II 1–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orenburg II27%fair 3.65 · @2.83
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Khimik Dzerzhinsk49%fair 2.05 · @2.24
3.07Expected goals
1.21Orenburg II xG
1.86Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Orenburg II 1.2 – 1.9 Khimik Dzerzhinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win✓
49%
2.05
2.24 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.59
Draw no bet
Khimik Dzerzhinsk (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Orenburg II +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Khimik Dzerzhinsk / FT Khimik Dzerzhinsk✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Orenburg II – last 6
DWDLWD
31 May
@ Izhevsk
2–2
D
24 May
vs KDV
3–0
W
18 May
@ Krylya Sovetov II
0–0
D
10 May
@ Rubin Kazan 2
0–3
L
3 May
vs Nosta
3–0
W
29 Apr
vs Dinamo Barnaul
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Khimik Dzerzhinsk – last 6
DWWWWW
30 May
vs Rubin Kazan 2
1–1
D
24 May
@ Nosta
1–0
W
17 May
vs Dinamo Barnaul
4–1
W
10 May
@ Akron II
5–1
W
29 Apr
@ Ural II
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Krylya Sovetov II
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orenburg II and Khimik Dzerzhinsk.
What is the prediction for Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
On our numbers Orenburg II have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Khimik Dzerzhinsk 49%.
How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our predicted score is Orenburg II 1–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
