Sweden travel to face Norway on Monday 1 June in the Friendlies, with Ullevaal the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Norway 1.6 xG, Sweden 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Norway 52%, draw 24%, Sweden 24%.
Lower-risk option: Norway or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norway 1–1 Sweden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Norway52%fair 1.91 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.55
Sweden24%fair 4.26 · @4.00
2.65Expected goals
1.59Norway xG
1.06Sweden xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Norway 1.6 – 1.1 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Norway
Sweden
Attack vs Friendlies average
-1%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.98
1.47
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norway to win✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Double chance
Norway or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Norway (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Sweden +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.13
First team to score
Norway to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norway / FT Norway✓
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Norway – last 2
DL
31 Mar
vs Switzerland
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sweden – last 2
WW
31 Mar
vs Poland
3–2
W
26 Mar
@ Ukraine
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norway and Sweden.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Norway vs Sweden?
On our numbers Norway have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sweden 24%.
How many goals will there be in Norway vs Sweden?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs Sweden?
Our predicted score is Norway 1–1 Sweden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Norway vs Sweden?
Norway vs Sweden (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ullevaal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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