Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontenegro to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Bulgaria vs Montenegro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montenegro travel to face Bulgaria on Monday 1 June in the Friendlies, with Hristo Botev Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bulgaria 1.4 xG, Montenegro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 49% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bulgaria 33%, draw 26%, Montenegro 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bulgaria 1–1 Montenegro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bulgaria33%fair 3.02 · @2.84
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.15
Montenegro41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
2.92Expected goals
1.40Bulgaria xG
1.52Montenegro xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Bulgaria 1.4 – 1.5 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bulgaria
Montenegro
Attack vs Friendlies average
-5%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.46
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montenegro to win✓
41%
2.45
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Montenegro (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Bulgaria +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Montenegro to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montenegro / FT Montenegro✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Bulgaria – last 2
WW
30 Mar
@ Indonesia
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Solomon Islands
10–2
W
5.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montenegro – last 2
LW
31 Mar
vs Slovenia
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Andorra
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bulgaria and Montenegro.
What is the prediction for Bulgaria vs Montenegro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Bulgaria vs Montenegro?
On our numbers Bulgaria have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Montenegro 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bulgaria vs Montenegro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bulgaria vs Montenegro?
Our predicted score is Bulgaria 1–1 Montenegro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bulgaria vs Montenegro?
Bulgaria vs Montenegro (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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