Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNetherlands to win ✗55% · @1.37
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✗78% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Netherlands vs Algeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Netherlands welcome Algeria to De Kuip for a Friendlies fixture on Wednesday 3 June (19:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Netherlands 1.6 xG, Algeria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Netherlands 55%, draw 23%, Algeria 22%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Netherlands 1–1 Algeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Netherlands55%fair 1.81 · @1.37
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.40
Algeria22%fair 4.58 · @8.80
2.84Expected goals
1.62Netherlands xG
1.22Algeria xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Netherlands 1.6 – 1.2 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Netherlands
Algeria
Attack vs Friendlies average
-6%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.41
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Netherlands to win✗
55%
1.81
1.37
Double chance
Netherlands or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Netherlands (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Algeria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
First team to score
Netherlands to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Netherlands / FT Netherlands✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Netherlands – last 2
DW
31 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Norway
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Algeria – last 2
DW
31 Mar
vs Uruguay
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Guatemala
7–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Algeria.
What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Algeria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Netherlands vs Algeria?
On our numbers Netherlands have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeria 22%.
How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Algeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Algeria?
Our predicted score is Netherlands 1–1 Algeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Netherlands vs Algeria?
Netherlands vs Algeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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