Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗36% · @3.20
Double chanceNew Zealand or draw ✗68% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Haiti vs New Zealand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Zealand travel to face Haiti on Wednesday 3 June in the Friendlies, with Chase Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haiti 1.2 xG, New Zealand 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haiti 32%, draw 36%, New Zealand 32%.
Lower-risk option: New Zealand or draw (68%) at 1.38.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haiti 1–1 New Zealand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haiti32%fair 3.15 · @2.92
Draw36%fair 2.76 · @3.20
New Zealand32%fair 3.12 · @2.40
2.38Expected goals
1.22Haiti xG
1.16New Zealand xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.2 – 1.2 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Haiti
New Zealand
Attack vs Friendlies average
-1%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.36
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
36%
2.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
New Zealand or draw✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
New Zealand (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
New Zealand +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
Haiti to score first✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✓
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.63
–
Recent results
Haiti – last 2
DL
31 Mar
vs Iceland
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
New Zealand – last 2
WL
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and New Zealand.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Haiti vs New Zealand?
On our numbers Haiti have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 36% and New Zealand 32%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs New Zealand?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs New Zealand?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–1 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs New Zealand?
Haiti vs New Zealand (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Chase Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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