Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharleroi to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Antwerp vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Antwerp v Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Bosuilstadion. In the table, Antwerp are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Charleroi are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Antwerp, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Standard Liege, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Charleroi, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Genk, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Charleroi 2–1 Antwerp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antwerp 1.3 xG, Charleroi 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antwerp 35%, draw 25%, Charleroi 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Charleroi to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antwerp 1–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antwerp35%fair 2.90 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Charleroi40%fair 2.50 · @2.75
2.73Expected goals
1.28Antwerp xG
1.45Charleroi xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Antwerp 1.3 – 1.5 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Antwerp have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Charleroi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Antwerp 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Antwerp vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bosuilstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
