Union St. Gilloise 73%Draw 18%KV Mechelen 9%Expected goals 2.34 – 0.72
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win73% · @1.30
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 9.98
Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union St. Gilloise welcome KV Mechelen to Stade Joseph Marien for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 10 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; KV Mechelen are 11th (lower half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gent, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
KV Mechelen, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gent, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for KV Mechelen.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended KV Mechelen 0–1 Union St. Gilloise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 2.3 xG, KV Mechelen 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 48% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 73%, draw 18%, KV Mechelen 9%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 KV Mechelen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise73%fair 1.37 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @5.00
KV Mechelen9%fair 11.34 · @9.40
3.06Expected goals
2.34Union St. Gilloise xG
0.72KV Mechelen xG
48%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.3 – 0.7 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and KV Mechelen 9%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
