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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RAAL La Louvière v Dender: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Stade Communal du Tivoli
0–1
FT
RAAL La Louvière 46%Draw 26%Dender 28% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.16
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Dender to win @ 4.10 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRAAL La Louvière to win ✗46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82

RAAL La Louvière vs Dender: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dender travel to face RAAL La Louvière on Monday 6 April in the Jupiler Pro League, with Stade Communal du Tivoli the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

RAAL La Louvière, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cercle Brugge, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RAAL La Louvière 1.3 xG, Dender 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RAAL La Louvière 46%, draw 26%, Dender 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Dender to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: RAAL La Louvière 1–1 Dender. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RAAL La Louvière46%fair 2.18 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
Dender28%fair 3.57 · @4.10
2.48Expected goals
1.32RAAL La Louvière xG
1.16Dender xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: RAAL La Louvière 1.3 – 1.2 Dender expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRAAL La Louvière to win ✗46%2.181.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.83
Draw no betRAAL La Louvière (draw no bet) ✗62%1.61–
Asian handicapDender +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreRAAL La Louvière to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT RAAL La Louvière / FT RAAL La Louvière ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

RAAL La Louvière – last 5

WDDLD
15 Mar@ Cercle Brugge3–1W
6 Marvs Antwerp0–0D
27 Feb@ Standard Liege1–1D
22 Febvs KV Mechelen0–2L
15 Feb@ Anderlecht0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Dender – last 2

DL
1 Mar@ Cercle Brugge0–0D
21 Febvs St. Truiden1–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RAAL La Louvière and Dender.

RAAL La Louvière vs Dender head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière vs Dender?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win RAAL La Louvière vs Dender?

On our numbers RAAL La Louvière have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dender 28%.

How many goals will there be in RAAL La Louvière vs Dender?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RAAL La Louvière vs Dender?

Our predicted score is RAAL La Louvière 1–1 Dender, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is RAAL La Louvière vs Dender?

RAAL La Louvière vs Dender (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Communal du Tivoli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.