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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gent v KV Mechelen: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Planet Group Arena

Gent

WWLL
1–1
FT
Gent 57%Draw 25%KV Mechelen 19% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.93
81%
Betarazi pick

Gent or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGent to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceGent or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Gent vs KV Mechelen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 6 April the Jupiler Pro League brings Gent against KV Mechelen at Planet Group Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Gent are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; KV Mechelen are 11th (lower half) with 12. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gent, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zulte Waregem, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

KV Mechelen, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Anderlecht, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Gent 3–1 KV Mechelen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gent 1.9 xG, KV Mechelen 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gent 57%, draw 25%, KV Mechelen 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gent or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gent or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gent 1–0 KV Mechelen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gent57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.70
KV Mechelen19%fair 5.29 · @3.85
2.79Expected goals
1.86Gent xG
0.93KV Mechelen xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Gent 1.9 – 0.9 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGent to win ✗57%1.771.85
Double chanceGent or draw ✓81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.55
Draw no betGent (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapKV Mechelen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.18
First team to scoreGent to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultGent ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gent / FT Gent ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Gent – last 4

WWLL
13 Marvs Zulte Waregem2–0W
8 Marvs KV Mechelen3–1W
1 Mar@ Genk0–3L
20 Febvs Cercle Brugge0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

KV Mechelen – last 4

WLWL
15 Marvs Anderlecht1–0W
8 Mar@ Gent1–3L
22 Feb@ RAAL La Louvière2–0W
13 Febvs Genk2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Gent v KV Mechelen3–1
Gent vs KV Mechelen head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gent vs KV Mechelen?

Our pick is Gent or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gent vs KV Mechelen?

On our numbers Gent have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and KV Mechelen 19%.

How many goals will there be in Gent vs KV Mechelen?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gent vs KV Mechelen?

Our predicted score is Gent 1–0 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gent vs KV Mechelen?

Gent vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.