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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dender v Cercle Brugge: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Dender Football Complex
1–4
FT
Dender 32%Draw 23%Cercle Brugge 45% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.39
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Dender to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCercle Brugge to win ✓45% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Dender vs Cercle Brugge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dender welcome Cercle Brugge to Dender Football Complex for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 19 April (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Dender, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over RAAL La Louvière, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Cercle Brugge, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to RAAL La Louvière, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dender, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Cercle Brugge.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Cercle Brugge 0–0 Dender.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dender 1.4 xG, Cercle Brugge 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dender 32%, draw 23%, Cercle Brugge 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Dender to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dender 1–1 Cercle Brugge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dender32%fair 3.10 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Cercle Brugge45%fair 2.21 · @1.95
2.76Expected goals
1.37Dender xG
1.39Cercle Brugge xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Dender 1.4 – 1.4 Cercle Brugge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCercle Brugge to win ✓45%2.211.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.60
Draw no betCercle Brugge (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapDender +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.201.15
First team to scoreCercle Brugge to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cercle Brugge / FT Cercle Brugge ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Dender – last 3

WDL
6 Apr@ RAAL La Louvière1–0W
1 Mar@ Cercle Brugge0–0D
21 Febvs St. Truiden1–4L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cercle Brugge – last 5

LLDWL
15 Marvs RAAL La Louvière1–3L
8 Mar@ St. Truiden1–2L
1 Marvs Dender0–0D
20 Feb@ Gent1–0W
15 Febvs Club Brugge KV1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Cercle Brugge v Dender0–0
Dender vs Cercle Brugge head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dender vs Cercle Brugge?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dender vs Cercle Brugge?

On our numbers Dender have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cercle Brugge 45%.

How many goals will there be in Dender vs Cercle Brugge?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dender vs Cercle Brugge?

Our predicted score is Dender 1–1 Cercle Brugge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Dender vs Cercle Brugge?

Dender vs Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dender Football Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.