Value bet: Gent to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGent to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Gent vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Truiden travel to face Gent on Sunday 19 April in the Jupiler Pro League, with Planet Group Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Gent are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; St. Truiden are 12th (lower half) with 11. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gent, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KV Mechelen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
St. Truiden, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Genk, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for Gent.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gent 1.6 xG, St. Truiden 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gent 43%, draw 25%, St. Truiden 32%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Gent to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gent 1–1 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gent43%fair 2.35 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
St. Truiden32%fair 3.09 · @2.55
2.77Expected goals
1.56Gent xG
1.21St. Truiden xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gent 1.6 – 1.2 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✗
43%
2.35
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Gent (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
St. Truiden +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Gent to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Gent – last 5
DWWLL
6 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs KV Mechelen
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Genk
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 4
LWWW
15 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and St. Truiden.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gent vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers Gent have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and St. Truiden 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is Gent 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gent vs St. Truiden?
Gent vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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