St. Truiden 40%Draw 24%Anderlecht 36%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.39
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Truiden welcome Anderlecht to Stayen for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Thursday 23 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, St. Truiden are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Anderlecht are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
St. Truiden, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gent, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Anderlecht, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Club Brugge KV, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Anderlecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 1.4 xG, Anderlecht 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 40%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Anderlecht to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 1–1 Anderlecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Truiden40%fair 2.52 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.65
Anderlecht36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.83Expected goals
1.44St. Truiden xG
1.39Anderlecht xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.4 – 1.4 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✓
40%
2.52
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.48
Draw no bet
St. Truiden (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Anderlecht +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
St. Truiden to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
St. Truiden – last 5
DLWWW
19 Apr
@ Gent
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 5
LLDWD
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Anderlecht.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 36%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stayen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Liège0
Patro Eisden1
Beerschot VA1