Lommel United 57%Draw 22%Liège 21%Expected goals 2.00 – 1.27
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLommel United to win ✓57% · @1.68
Double chanceLommel United or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Lommel United vs Liège: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Jupiler Pro League brings Lommel United against Liège at Soevereinstadion. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Lommel United, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Beerschot VA, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Liège, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AS Eupen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Liège, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Lommel United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lommel United 2.0 xG, Liège 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lommel United 57%, draw 22%, Liège 21%.
Lower-risk option: Lommel United or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lommel United 2–1 Liège. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lommel United57%fair 1.76 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.80
Liège21%fair 4.75 · @4.33
3.27Expected goals
2.00Lommel United xG
1.27Liège xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lommel United 2.0 – 1.3 Liège expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lommel United to win✓
57%
1.76
1.68
Double chance
Lommel United or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Lommel United (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Liège +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Lommel United to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Lommel United ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lommel United / FT Lommel United✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Lommel United – last 4
LWDL
17 Apr
@ Beerschot VA
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Francs Borains
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ KAA Gent II
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Seraing United
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Liège – last 5
WWDLW
17 Apr
vs AS Eupen
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Olympic Charleroi
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Patro Eisden
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Kortrijk
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Club Brugge II
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and Liège.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs Liège?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lommel United vs Liège?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Liège 21%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs Liège?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Liège?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 2–1 Liège, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs Liège?
Lommel United vs Liège (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Patro Eisden1
Beerschot VA1