Anderlecht 23%Draw 27%Union St. Gilloise 51%Expected goals 1.04 – 1.52
77%
Betarazi pick
Union St. Gilloise or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win51% · @1.90
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.78
Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union St. Gilloise travel to face Anderlecht on Sunday 26 April in the Jupiler Pro League, with Lotto Park the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Anderlecht are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Anderlecht, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to St. Truiden, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Union St. Gilloise, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gent, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Anderlecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Anderlecht 1.0 xG, Union St. Gilloise 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Anderlecht 23%, draw 27%, Union St. Gilloise 51%.
Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anderlecht 1–1 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Anderlecht23%fair 4.37 · @3.95
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.45
Union St. Gilloise51%fair 1.98 · @1.90
2.56Expected goals
1.04Anderlecht xG
1.52Union St. Gilloise xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.0 – 1.5 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win
51%
1.98
1.90
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Anderlecht +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Anderlecht – last 6
LLLDWD
23 Apr
@ St. Truiden
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 3
DWD
22 Apr
vs Gent
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union St. Gilloise 51%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
