Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSt. Truiden to win46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.81
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
KV Mechelen welcome St. Truiden to Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 26 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, KV Mechelen are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; St. Truiden are 12th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
KV Mechelen, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Club Brugge KV, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
St. Truiden, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anderlecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for KV Mechelen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KV Mechelen 1.3 xG, St. Truiden 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KV Mechelen 30%, draw 24%, St. Truiden 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: KV Mechelen 1–1 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KV Mechelen30%fair 3.32 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.60
St. Truiden46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
2.95Expected goals
1.30KV Mechelen xG
1.65St. Truiden xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: KV Mechelen 1.3 – 1.6 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win
46%
2.16
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.53
Draw no bet
St. Truiden (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
KV Mechelen +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
St. Truiden to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
KV Mechelen – last 6
LLDWLW
22 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
1–6
L
12 Apr
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Gent
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gent
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 6
WDLWWW
23 Apr
vs Anderlecht
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Gent
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KV Mechelen and St. Truiden.
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers KV Mechelen have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Truiden 46%.
How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is KV Mechelen 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
