Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 21 May the Jupiler Pro League brings Gent against Union St. Gilloise at Planet Group Arena. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Gent are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gent, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Anderlecht, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Club Brugge KV, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Gent.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Gent.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gent 1.0 xG, Union St. Gilloise 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gent 22%, draw 25%, Union St. Gilloise 53%.
Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gent 1–1 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gent22%fair 4.49 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.65
Union St. Gilloise53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
2.51Expected goals
1.01Gent xG
1.50Union St. Gilloise xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gent 1.0 – 1.5 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Gent have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union St. Gilloise 53%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Gent 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
