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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Anderlecht v St. Truiden: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Lotto Park
3–1
FT
Anderlecht 45%Draw 24%St. Truiden 31% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.24
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAnderlecht to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Anderlecht vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Anderlecht welcome St. Truiden to Lotto Park for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Thursday 21 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Anderlecht are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; St. Truiden are 12th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Anderlecht, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with KV Mechelen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

St. Truiden, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anderlecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Anderlecht.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Anderlecht 1.6 xG, St. Truiden 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Anderlecht 45%, draw 24%, St. Truiden 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anderlecht 1–1 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Anderlecht45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
St. Truiden31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
2.86Expected goals
1.62Anderlecht xG
1.24St. Truiden xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.6 – 1.2 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAnderlecht to win ✓45%2.242.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.48
Draw no betAnderlecht (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapSt. Truiden +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
First team to scoreAnderlecht to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht ✓28%3.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Anderlecht – last 6

DDDLLL
17 Mayvs KV Mechelen2–2D
14 May@ Union St. Gilloise1–1D
10 May@ Gent1–1D
23 Apr@ St. Truiden0–2L
6 Apr@ Club Brugge KV2–4L
15 Mar@ KV Mechelen0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

St. Truiden – last 6

WDLWWW
23 Aprvs Anderlecht2–0W
19 Apr@ Gent0–0D
15 Mar@ Genk0–1L
8 Marvs Cercle Brugge2–1W
21 Feb@ Dender4–1W
15 Febvs Zulte Waregem3–2W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026St. Truiden v Anderlecht2–0
Anderlecht vs St. Truiden head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?

On our numbers Anderlecht have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Truiden 31%.

How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?

Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?

Anderlecht vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.