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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. Truiden v KV Mechelen: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Stayen
3–0
FT
St. Truiden 58%Draw 19%KV Mechelen 23% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.12
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

KV Mechelen travel to face St. Truiden on Sunday 24 May in the Jupiler Pro League, with Stayen the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, St. Truiden are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; KV Mechelen are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

St. Truiden, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Anderlecht, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

KV Mechelen, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Club Brugge KV, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for KV Mechelen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 2.0 xG, KV Mechelen 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 58%, draw 19%, KV Mechelen 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 1–1 KV Mechelen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Truiden58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
KV Mechelen23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
3.08Expected goals
1.96St. Truiden xG
1.12KV Mechelen xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.0 – 1.1 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Truiden to win ✓58%1.731.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.50
Draw no betSt. Truiden (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapKV Mechelen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.631.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreSt. Truiden to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultSt. Truiden ahead at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

St. Truiden – last 6

LWDLWW
21 May@ Anderlecht1–3L
23 Aprvs Anderlecht2–0W
19 Apr@ Gent0–0D
15 Mar@ Genk0–1L
8 Marvs Cercle Brugge2–1W
21 Feb@ Dender4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

KV Mechelen – last 6

DDWLLD
21 Mayvs Club Brugge KV2–2D
17 May@ Anderlecht2–2D
3 Mayvs Gent1–0W
22 Apr@ Club Brugge KV1–6L
12 Aprvs Union St. Gilloise0–1L
6 Apr@ Gent1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and KV Mechelen.

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?

On our numbers St. Truiden have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and KV Mechelen 23%.

How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?

Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–1 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stayen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.