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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Stade Joseph Marien
5–1
FT
Union St. Gilloise 59%Draw 24%Anderlecht 17% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.91
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓59% · @1.55
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union St. Gilloise welcome Anderlecht to Stade Joseph Marien for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 24 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Anderlecht are 5th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Union St. Gilloise, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gent, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Anderlecht, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over St. Truiden, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Anderlecht.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 1.8 xG, Anderlecht 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 59%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (83%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Anderlecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union St. Gilloise59%fair 1.69 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @4.10
Anderlecht17%fair 5.83 · @5.50
2.70Expected goals
1.79Union St. Gilloise xG
0.91Anderlecht xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 1.8 – 0.9 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓59%1.691.55
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓83%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.77
Draw no betUnion St. Gilloise (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapAnderlecht +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.14
First team to scoreUnion St. Gilloise to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultUnion St. Gilloise ahead at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise ✓36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Union St. Gilloise – last 6

DLDDWD
21 May@ Gent0–0D
17 May@ Club Brugge KV0–5L
14 Mayvs Anderlecht1–1D
22 Aprvs Gent0–0D
12 Apr@ KV Mechelen1–0W
1 Mar@ KVC Westerlo0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Anderlecht – last 6

WDDDLL
21 Mayvs St. Truiden3–1W
17 Mayvs KV Mechelen2–2D
14 May@ Union St. Gilloise1–1D
10 May@ Gent1–1D
23 Apr@ St. Truiden0–2L
6 Apr@ Club Brugge KV2–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht1–1
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 17%.

How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.