Value bet: Atromitos to win @ 2.52 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAtromitos to win45% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.31
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atromitos welcome Asteras Tripolis to Peristeri Stadium for a Super League 1 fixture on Sunday 26 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Atromitos are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Asteras Tripolis are 11th (lower half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atromitos, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Panserraikos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Asteras Tripolis, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Panetolikos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atromitos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Asteras Tripolis.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Atromitos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atromitos 1.4 xG, Asteras Tripolis 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atromitos 45%, draw 27%, Asteras Tripolis 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Atromitos to win @2.52 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atromitos 1–1 Asteras Tripolis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atromitos45%fair 2.24 · @2.52
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Asteras Tripolis28%fair 3.54 · @2.78
2.29Expected goals
1.40Atromitos xG
0.89Asteras Tripolis xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Atromitos 1.4 – 0.9 Asteras Tripolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
On our numbers Atromitos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Asteras Tripolis 28%.
How many goals will there be in Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our predicted score is Atromitos 1–1 Asteras Tripolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Peristeri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Larisa
Panserraikos