Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Larisa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLarisa to win59% · @1.84
Double chanceLarisa or draw83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.31
Larisa vs Panserraikos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Panserraikos travel to face Larisa on Sunday 26 April in the Super League 1, with AEL FC Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Larisa, last 4: DLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kifisia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Panserraikos, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atromitos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Panserraikos, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Larisa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larisa 1.9 xG, Panserraikos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larisa 59%, draw 24%, Panserraikos 17%.
Lower-risk option: Larisa or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Larisa to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Larisa or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larisa 1–0 Panserraikos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larisa59%fair 1.70 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Panserraikos17%fair 5.88 · @4.20
2.67Expected goals
1.87Larisa xG
0.80Panserraikos xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Larisa 1.9 – 0.8 Panserraikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win
59%
1.70
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Larisa or draw
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Larisa (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Larisa -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Larisa to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Larisa ahead at half-time
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Larisa – last 4
DLDD
22 Apr
vs Kifisia
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Panetolikos
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs PAOK
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Panathinaikos
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Panserraikos – last 6
LDWLWD
22 Apr
vs Atromitos
0–4
L
8 Apr
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Asteras Tripolis
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Volos NFC
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Atromitos
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larisa and Panserraikos.
What is the prediction for Larisa vs Panserraikos?
Our pick is Larisa or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Larisa vs Panserraikos?
On our numbers Larisa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Panserraikos 17%.
How many goals will there be in Larisa vs Panserraikos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larisa vs Panserraikos?
Our predicted score is Larisa 1–0 Panserraikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Larisa vs Panserraikos?
Larisa vs Panserraikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AEL FC Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kifisia0
Panetolikos0
Atromitos0
Asteras Tripolis0