Value bet: Aris Thessalonikis to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAris Thessalonikis to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aris Thessalonikis travel to face Levadiakos on Sunday 5 April in the Super League 1, with Levadias Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Levadiakos are 13th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Aris Thessalonikis are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Levadiakos, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to PAOK, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levadiakos 1.2 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levadiakos 35%, draw 28%, Aris Thessalonikis 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Aris Thessalonikis to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levadiakos 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levadiakos35%fair 2.86 · @2.46
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.94
Aris Thessalonikis37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
2.44Expected goals
1.15Levadiakos xG
1.29Aris Thessalonikis xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Levadiakos 1.2 – 1.3 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris Thessalonikis to win✗
37%
2.70
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Draw no bet
Aris Thessalonikis (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Levadiakos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Aris Thessalonikis to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris Thessalonikis / FT Aris Thessalonikis✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Levadiakos – last 3
LLL
15 Mar
@ PAOK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Panathinaikos
1–4
L
22 Feb
@ AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 2
LD
1 Mar
@ Panathinaikos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Kifisia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levadiakos and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers Levadiakos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Aris Thessalonikis 37%.
How many goals will there be in Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is Levadiakos 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Levadias Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
