Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPAOK to win ✗46% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
PAOK vs Panathinaikos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PAOK welcome Panathinaikos to Toumba Stadium for a Super League 1 fixture on Sunday 5 April (17:00 WAT). In the table, PAOK are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Panathinaikos are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
PAOK, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Levadiakos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Panathinaikos, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Real Betis, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 1.4 xG, Panathinaikos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 46%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 29%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 1–1 Panathinaikos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAOK46%fair 2.15 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.45
Panathinaikos29%fair 3.41 · @5.00
2.66Expected goals
1.36PAOK xG
1.29Panathinaikos xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: PAOK 1.4 – 1.3 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
46%
2.15
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
PAOK (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Panathinaikos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
PAOK to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
PAOK – last 6
WWWLDL
15 Mar
vs Levadiakos
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Kifisia
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Asteras Tripolis
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Larisa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Celta Vigo
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Panathinaikos – last 6
LDWWWW
19 Mar
@ Real Betis
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Panetolikos
0–0
D
12 Mar
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Levadiakos
4–1
W
4 Mar
vs OFI
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Aris Thessalonikis
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Panathinaikos.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers PAOK have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Panathinaikos 29%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
PAOK vs Panathinaikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
