AEK Athens FC 52%Draw 23%Panathinaikos 24%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.17
73%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAEK Athens FC to win52% · @1.46
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.01
AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Super League 1 brings AEK Athens FC against Panathinaikos at Allwyn Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, AEK Athens FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 9 matches; Panathinaikos are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
AEK Athens FC, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over PAOK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Panathinaikos, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with PAOK, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Athens FC 1.5 xG, Panathinaikos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Athens FC 52%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Athens FC 1–1 Panathinaikos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Athens FC52%fair 1.92 · @1.46
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
Panathinaikos24%fair 4.10 · @7.10
2.66Expected goals
1.49AEK Athens FC xG
1.17Panathinaikos xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 1.5 – 1.2 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win
52%
1.92
1.46
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Panathinaikos +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
AEK Athens FC to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
AEK Athens FC – last 6
WWLWLD
19 Apr
vs PAOK
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Rayo Vallecano
3–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Celje
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Atromitos
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Panathinaikos – last 6
DLDWWW
5 Apr
@ PAOK
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ Real Betis
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Panetolikos
0–0
D
12 Mar
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Levadiakos
4–1
W
4 Mar
vs OFI
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Athens FC and Panathinaikos.
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Panathinaikos 24%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 1–1 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
