Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win55% · @1.63
Double chanceOlympiakos Piraeus or draw81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.68
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PAOK travel to face Olympiakos Piraeus on Sunday 10 May in the Super League 1, with Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Olympiakos Piraeus are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 10 matches; PAOK are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Olympiakos Piraeus, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AEK Athens FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
PAOK, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olympiakos Piraeus 1.6 xG, PAOK 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olympiakos Piraeus 55%, draw 26%, PAOK 19%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 PAOK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olympiakos Piraeus55%fair 1.80 · @1.63
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.45
PAOK19%fair 5.33 · @5.25
2.44Expected goals
1.58Olympiakos Piraeus xG
0.87PAOK xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.6 – 0.9 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olympiakos Piraeus to win
55%
1.80
1.63
Double chance
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
PAOK +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Olympiakos Piraeus to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olympiakos Piraeus / FT Olympiakos Piraeus
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Olympiakos Piraeus – last 5
LWDWL
5 Apr
vs AEK Athens FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Panserraikos
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Panetolikos
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
PAOK – last 6
LDWWWL
19 Apr
@ AEK Athens FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Panathinaikos
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Levadiakos
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Kifisia
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Asteras Tripolis
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK.
What is the prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
On our numbers Olympiakos Piraeus have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and PAOK 19%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
