Value bet: AEK Athens FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✗39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.54
AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Super League 1 brings AEK Athens FC against Olympiakos Piraeus at Allwyn Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, AEK Athens FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 9 matches; Olympiakos Piraeus are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AEK Athens FC, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with PAOK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Olympiakos Piraeus, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Panathinaikos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 AEK Athens FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Athens FC 1.2 xG, Olympiakos Piraeus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Athens FC 34%, draw 27%, Olympiakos Piraeus 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: AEK Athens FC to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Athens FC 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Athens FC34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.05
Olympiakos Piraeus39%fair 2.57 · @2.22
2.43Expected goals
1.20AEK Athens FC xG
1.23Olympiakos Piraeus xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 1.2 – 1.2 Olympiakos Piraeus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Olympiakos Piraeus 39%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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