Value bet: Panathinaikos to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPAOK to win ✗40% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.60
Panathinaikos vs PAOK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Panathinaikos v PAOK in the Super League 1, played at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. In the table, Panathinaikos are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; PAOK are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Panathinaikos, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olympiakos Piraeus, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
PAOK, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AEK Athens FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours PAOK, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Panathinaikos.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended PAOK 0–0 Panathinaikos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panathinaikos 1.5 xG, PAOK 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panathinaikos 34%, draw 25%, PAOK 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Panathinaikos to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panathinaikos 1–1 PAOK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panathinaikos34%fair 2.90 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.40
PAOK40%fair 2.48 · @1.90
2.68Expected goals
1.47Panathinaikos xG
1.21PAOK xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 1.5 – 1.2 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and PAOK 40%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Panathinaikos vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Panserraikos1