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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pafos v AEL: numbers & prediction

Cup · Cyprus · Stelios Kyriakides Stadium

Pafos

DWDDD
3–1
FT

AEL

WLDLW
Pafos 58%Draw 23%AEL 18% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.95
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPafos to win ✓58% · @1.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Pafos vs AEL: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pafos welcome AEL to Stelios Kyriakides Stadium for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 22 April (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Pafos, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aris, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

AEL, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Enosis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pafos, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for AEL.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended AEL 1–2 Pafos. The last 2 head-to-heads: Pafos 2 wins, AEL 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 1.7 xG, AEL 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 58%, draw 23%, AEL 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 1–1 AEL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pafos58%fair 1.72 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.95
AEL18%fair 5.46 · @5.40
2.69Expected goals
1.75Pafos xG
0.95AEL xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Pafos 1.7 – 0.9 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPafos to win ✓58%1.721.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓82%1.221.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.73
Draw no betPafos (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapAEL +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scorePafos to score first60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Pafos – last 6

DWDDDW
14 Apr@ Aris1–1D
8 Apr@ AEL2–1W
22 Marvs Apollon Limassol1–1D
1 Mar@ Aris2–2D
21 Febvs Anorthosis0–0D
15 Feb@ AEL1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AEL – last 6

WLDLWL
17 Aprvs Enosis2–1W
8 Aprvs Pafos1–2L
22 Marvs Ethnikos Achna1–1D
8 Mar@ Apollon Limassol1–2L
20 Feb@ Enosis2–0W
15 Febvs Pafos0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026AEL v Pafos1–2
15 Feb 2026AEL v Pafos0–1
Pafos vs AEL head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Apollon Limassol4 Apoel Nicosia2 143%2.45X24%3.20232%2.62 1.9–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs AEL?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pafos vs AEL?

On our numbers Pafos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AEL 18%.

How many goals will there be in Pafos vs AEL?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs AEL?

Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pafos vs AEL?

Pafos vs AEL (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.