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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Apollon Limassol v Apoel Nicosia: numbers & prediction

Cup · Cyprus · Alphamega Stadium

Apollon Limassol

WDDDW
4–2
FT

Apoel Nicosia

LWWLW
Apollon Limassol 43%Draw 24%Apoel Nicosia 32% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.48
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultApollon Limassol to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 22 April the Cup brings Apollon Limassol against Apoel Nicosia at Alphamega Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Apollon Limassol, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Apoel Nicosia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Apoel Nicosia, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Apollon Limassol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Apoel Nicosia 2–3 Apollon Limassol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Apollon Limassol 1.9 xG, Apoel Nicosia 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Apollon Limassol 43%, draw 24%, Apoel Nicosia 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apollon Limassol 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Apollon Limassol43%fair 2.31 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Apoel Nicosia32%fair 3.08 · @2.62
3.34Expected goals
1.86Apollon Limassol xG
1.48Apoel Nicosia xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%

From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 1.9 – 1.5 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApollon Limassol to win ✓43%2.312.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.70
Draw no betApollon Limassol (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapApoel Nicosia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
First team to scoreApollon Limassol to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apollon Limassol / FT Apollon Limassol ✓29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

Apollon Limassol – last 6

WDDDWD
14 Apr@ Apoel Nicosia3–2W
5 Aprvs AEK Larnaca1–1D
22 Mar@ Pafos1–1D
15 Mar@ Anorthosis1–1D
8 Marvs AEL2–1W
2 Mar@ Omonia Nicosia1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Apoel Nicosia – last 6

LWWLWL
14 Aprvs Apollon Limassol2–3L
5 Aprvs Aris2–1W
15 Mar@ Aris2–1W
8 Marvs Anorthosis0–2L
22 Febvs Omonia Nicosia1–0W
15 Feb@ Ethnikos Achna2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Apr 2026Apoel Nicosia v Apollon Limassol2–3
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Pafos3 AEL1 158%1.50X23%3.95218%5.40 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?

On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apoel Nicosia 32%.

How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?

Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.