Tombense vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the brings Tombense against São Bernardo at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Tombense, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Volta Redonda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
São Bernardo, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cianorte, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tombense 1.4 xG, São Bernardo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tombense 34%, draw 26%, São Bernardo 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tombense 1–1 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tombense34%fair 2.91 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
São Bernardo40%fair 2.50 · @2.20
3.03Expected goals
1.44Tombense xG
1.59São Bernardo xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tombense 1.4 – 1.6 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✗
40%
2.50
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Tombense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
São Bernardo to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Tombense – last 6
LDWLLL
16 Apr
@ Volta Redonda
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs America Mineiro
3–3
D
26 Mar
vs Avai
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ Confiança
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Uniao Trabalhadores
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Uniao Trabalhadores
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
LLWLDL
15 Apr
vs Cianorte
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 Mar
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tombense and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Tombense vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Tombense vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Tombense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São Bernardo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tombense vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tombense vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Tombense 1–1 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tombense vs São Bernardo?
Tombense vs São Bernardo () kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Novorizontino1
Avai2